The U.S. import price index jumped 2.8% in March, and 15% compared to
March 2007, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported today. Both petroleum
prices (up 9.1% for the month, 60% over 12 months) and nonpetroleum prices
(1.1% and 5.4%) climbed.
BLS noted, “The largest contributor to the
March increase in nonpetroleum prices was a 3.6% advance in the price index for
nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials. That rise was mostly driven by
a jump in unfinished metals prices, although higher prices for natural gas,
finished metals and chemicals also factored into the advance. Nonpetroleum
industrial supplies and materials prices rose 14.7% over the past 12 months.” Many of these items affect the cost of
construction materials.
On April 3, the Institute for Supply Management reported that
purchasing executives at
nonmanufacturing entities had listed the following items relevant to construction as up in price in March: aluminum products, carbon steel pipe,
construction labor, copper wire and products, diesel fuel, freight charges and
fuel surcharges, pipe, plastic products, steel and stainless steel and
products, wood products. This was a much longer list than in recent months,
especially with respect to construction inputs. Steel was listed as being
in short supply.
Steel mills announced this week that they were raising
prices by $147 per net ton for rebar, merchant bar and structural steel. One
supplier quoted increases for plate and sheet products, structural beams and
channel of $70-$110/ton effective May 1, and tubing and piping went up $100/ton
on March 28. Mills typically announce prices for the start of the next month, including
a surcharge based on American Metal Market’s shredded
auto scrap index.
The May increase nearly doubles the surcharge to
$555 from December’s level of $280. One precaster reported today, “This would
drive our fabricated rebar pricing up 7-8 cents per pound (lb.) or around 13 to
15% more than April pricing...rebar and strand are increasing every month and
sometimes within the month. Another
example is one precast strand supplier whose April pricing had been a little
under $30 per 1000 linear feet (mlf) and had quoted May and June increases
adding approximately 10%, revised their price earlier this week to $350/mlf
effective immediately with no May or June commitment.”
Copper futures for May delivery closed today at $3.94/lb.
on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex). Bloomberg
News reported, “The metal reached $4.039 yesterday on concern supplies will
trail demand. The highest price ever for the most-active contract was $4.04 in
May 2006.”
West Texas Intermediate
(WTI) crude oil and heating oil futures set records on the
Nymex on Wednesday and closed today just shy of those highs at $110 per barrel (bbl.)
and $3.20 per gallon (gal.), respectively. Natural
gas futures closed today at $9.90 per million British thermal units, down
20 cents from Thursday but up 25% from a year ago. The national average retail
price of highway diesel fuel was
$3.96/gal. on Monday, down 2 cents from a week earlier but up $1.11 (39%) from
a year ago, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported. On Tuesday, in its Short-Term Energy and Summer
Fuels Outlook, EIA projected that WTI crude would average $101/bbl. in 2008, up
39% from 2007; diesel fuel would average $3.62/ gal., up 26%; and the Henry Hub
natural gas spot price would average $8.59 per thousand cubic feet (mcf), up 20%
from 2007. These projections exceed last month’s projections. Contractors use diesel fuel for offroad
equipment and construction trucks, and indirectly pay for it through fuel
surcharges on deliveries and in the price of goods that are mined, manufactured
and milled using diesel. Natural gas is a feedstock for many construction
plastics.
High petroleum and natural gas prices are leading to more
construction in some locations. Oil Daily
reported today, “The Bakken formation, stretching from Montana into North
Dakota, has an estimated 3-4.3 billion barrels of undiscovered, technically recoverable oil, according to a U.S.
Geological Survey (USGS) assessment released Thursday. The USGS said the Bakken
play is the largest ‘continuous’ oil accumulation it has ever assessed.” On Monday, the Wall Street
Journal reported, “Saudi Aramco and Royal Dutch Shell have begun
plowing an expected $7 billion into the most ambitious refinery project in more than 30 years [in Port Arthur, Texas,
where Valero Energy is] involved in its own multibillion-dollar expansion”. But
New York Governor David Paterson “said the state is rejecting a proposal to
build the world’s first floating liquefied
natural gas terminal in the middle of Long Island Sound,” AP
reported on Thursday.
Reed Construction Data reported today that the year-to-date value of nonresidential construction starts
collected by the company fell 6.6% in January-March 2008 compared to the same
months of 2007. Heavy engineering construction was off 11%. Nonresidential
building construction was off 5%, with retail construction down 14%.
“Weak consumer spending is pushing struggling retailers close to or over the edge,
and that is starting to hurt shopping-mall owners,” the Journal
reported on Wednesday. “The list of weak retailers is growing by the day,
including furniture seller Domain Inc., high-end jeweler Fortunoff Inc. and
electronics merchant Sharper Image Corp., all of which have sought bankruptcy
protection since January. Mall mainstay Foot Locker Inc. closed 274 stores last
year and anticipates 140 more closures this year. Jeweler Zale Corp. is closing
100 stores in the wake of disastrous holiday sales. Wilsons the Leather Experts
Inc. is closing 158 of its 260 mall stores this year, and teen retailer Pacific
Sunwear of California Inc. is closing its 153-store Demo chain. Making matters worse, new construction will
raise the total amount of retail space by 3.5% this year in the top 54 U.S.
markets,” according to Property & Portfolio Research Inc.