Construction spending slipped 0.3% in February to a seasonally
adjusted annual rate of $1.12 billion, the Census Bureau reported today. The
drop was the fifth straight monthly decline. Year-to-date (YTD) spending in the
first two months of 2008 was 2.6% lower than in January-February 2007.
Residential
construction sagged 0.9% for the month and 20% YTD. Private nonresidential
spending inched down 0.1% in February but was up 16% YTD. Public nonresidential
spending rose 0.5% and 6.6%. Growth in some categories held steady in the first
two months of 2008 or even accelerated from 2007, while others slowed markedly.
Educational construction rose 15% YTD, compared to 14% from 2006 to
2007; power, 30% vs. 27%; manufacturing, 30% vs. 10%; transportation
facilities, 14% vs. 16%; lodging, 49% vs. 65%. In contrast, commercial (retail,
warehouse and farm) rose 1.2% YTD vs. 13% in 2007; highway, 3.9% vs. 7.0%;
office, 8.7% vs. 19%; health care, 4.2% vs. 14%. Among private residential
categories, new single-family construction fell 33% YTD vs. 27%; new
multi-family, -20% vs. -7.5%; and improvements, +10% vs. +0.4%.
The outlook for highway
construction appears to be worsening. Of 176 respondents to a March 24
survey by AGC of highway contractors, chapter executives and some state
departments of transportation, 77% said there has been “a reduction in the
number of contracts that are being bid by your state DOT over the past year.” Half
said their “state had problems in providing the match to receive Federal funds”
and nearly half said “the reduction in the number of contracts being bid
resulted in you laying off workers.”
“Tax revenues collected by states during the fourth quarter of 2007 grew
only 2.3% compared to the same period in 2006, while costs for state and local
government services continued a recent trend of sharp increases,” rising at an
annual rate of 6.2%, compared to 4.1% the previous quarter, the Rockefeller
Institute of Government (www.rockinst.org)
reported on Monday. “When the effects of inflation and enacted tax changes are
factored in, state tax revenues across the nation decreased by 4.3% during the
quarter. Both by that measure and in nominal terms, state tax revenues were the
weakest in almost five years….Among individual states, revenues dropped
significantly in Oregon, Florida, West Virginia, Mississippi, Arizona and Nevada.
Revenue growth was strongest in Alaska, Colorado, Iowa, Montana, North Dakota, South
Dakota and Texas.”
Revenue
declines can trigger cuts in state-financed construction. Today’s Census Bureau
report showed that state and local construction spending rose 8.6% YTD,
compared to a 12% gain from 2006 to 2007.
In February, seasonally
adjusted employment increased in 23 states and the District of Columbia and decreased in 27 states, the
Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday. Over 12 months, nonfarm
employment increased in 43 states and DC and decreased in seven states. The
largest over-the-year percentage increases in employment occurred in Wyoming,
3.1%; Texas and Utah, 2.3% each; Washington, 2.1%; and Colorado, 2.0%. Rhode
Island recorded the largest over-the-year percentage decrease in employment,
-1.6%; followed by Michigan, -1.5%; Florida and Wisconsin, -0.3% each, and
Nevada, -0.2%.
Nationally, total
nonfarm employment increased 0.6% and construction employment fell 2.9% over
the year. By state, construction
employment rose in 12 states in February, fell in 29 and was unchanged (or
within 100 of January levels) in nine states plus DC. Over the year,
construction employment climbed in 20 states plus DC, fell in 27 and was within
100 of the February 2007 level in Arkansas, Delaware and Mississippi. Although
these totals were similar to the January comparisons, construction growth was
generally weaker and decreases larger than before.
The highest
year-over-year percentage growth was in Kentucky, 7%; Hawaii, Kansas, Nebraska,
Oklahoma and Wyoming, 5% each. The biggest declines were in Florida, -12%;
Arizona, -11%; Rhode Island, -10%; California, -9%; and Nevada, -8%.
Some large power construction
projects are going ahead. “Dominion Virginia Power's plan to build a [$1.8
billion coal-burning plant in Wise County] in southwest Virginia cleared a
major hurdle Monday when it was approved by the State Corporation Commission, the
Washington Post reported today. “Municipal utilities
have more than 33,000 megawatts [MW] of generating capacity under construction:
49% gas fired, 40% coal fired and 6% wind turbines, according to data by the
American Public Power Association,” the Wall Street Journal
reported on March 20. “Last year, [investor-owned utilities] announced plans to
build nearly 25,000 MWs of new generating capacity, with less than 10% of it
coal-fueled. For the first time in decades, nuclear proposals led the list
at…45% of the total,” according to the Edison Electric Institute.
Arizona Public Service Co. on February 21
announced plans for a $1-billion, 280-MW concentrating solar power plant to be
built 70 miles southwest of Phoenix, near Gila Bend, Ariz. On March 6, the Associated
Press reported, “New power line construction is more likely in the
mid-Atlantic states and the Southwest after the government…said it was pushing
ahead with a plan to expand and modernize the electric grid in those areas.”
BMW
announced on March 10 that it will invest $750 million in its Spartanburg, S.C.,
auto factory to add 1.5 million
square feet and 500 new jobs on site to produce three models and to increase
production capacity to 240,000 units by 2012.