Reports
of escalating construction costs are
proliferating. Commodity prices have hammered the…budget” for FasTracks, a
massive Denver regional rail project
due to break ground late in 2008, the
Denver Business Journal
reported on Jan. 11. “Originally billed at $4.7 billion when voters approved
the project in 2004, it’s ballooned to $6.1 billion—driven largely by annual,
double-digit increases in the price of raw materials needed to build the rail
lines and cars.”
On Jan. 6, the Associated Press reported that the
“ballooning $1.8 billion cost” of FutureGen, a “groundbreaking power plant in central Illinois” that
would trap greenhouse gases and store them underground, “has the government so
uneasy it wants the project’s consortium of corporate backers to rework the
design to get the price down….In southern Illinois, officials who in October
2001 announced plans for a coal-fired, 1,600 megawatt power plant about 50
miles southeast of St. Louis estimated the project would cost $2 billion.
But…the price tag swelled to $2.9 billion by the time ground finally was broken
in October.”
The Baltimore Business Journal
reported on Dec. 21, “A billion-dollar plan to build two new clinical towers
and renovate Johns Hopkins Hospital’s East Baltimore medical campus, one of the
nation’s largest health construction
projects, is $252 million over budget and two years behind schedule.”
One
contributor to rising construction costs is diesel fuel.
On Jan. 14, the Energy Information Administration reported that the national
average retail price of on-highway diesel was $3.33 per gallon, down 5 cents
from last Monday but up 86 cents (35%) from a year ago. In its latest “Short-Term
Energy Outlook,” released on Tuesday, the agency wrote, “Both motor
gasoline and diesel prices are projected to average over $3 per gallon in 2008
and 2009, with monthly average gasoline prices peaking near $3.50 per gallon
this spring.”
“For the first time in four years, the national vacancy rate for office buildings rose
in the fourth quarter, as an unusually large amount of new space came on the
market and tenants shied way from signing new leases,” the Wall
Street Journal reported on Jan. 7. “Demand for commercial buildings
has begun to slow and vacancy rates to climb in several markets…that have been
particularly hard hit by the nation's housing slump and turmoil in the
residential mortgage market….
“Nationally, the office vacancy rate—as measured
by 79 metropolitan markets—rose to 12.6% at the end of the fourth quarter from
12.5% at the end of the third quarter, according to Reis Inc., a New York
real-estate research firm….Even as tenants
began to pull back on leasing in the fourth quarter, developers added more
space to the market. More than 19 million square feet of new office space was
completed—the most since the fourth quarter of 2000, at the height of the
last boom….This year, about 75 million square feet of new office space is
scheduled to come online in the 79 markets Reis tracks, up from about 53
million square feet finished in 2007….
“Not
all markets are showing signs of suffering….Boston saw average effective
rents—or the price tenants pay after concessions—jump 4.9% in the fourth
quarter, and New York City's average rose 3.9%. Denver and Houston showed
similar gains.”
Markets with the largest increases in vacancy rates
were San Bernardino/Riverside, California, 1.9 percentage points; Orange County,
Calif., and Fort Lauderdale, 1.7; and Las Vegas, 1.6. “Those numbers don't
reflect sublease space available due in part to mortgage companies going out of
business.” A chart with the article showed smaller increases in vacancy rates
in Salt Lake City, Tacoma, Austin, Hartford, Phoenix and the Maryland suburbs
of Washington.
“General Electric Co.’s energy investment business,
buoyed by rising demand for alternative power, said Monday it will increase its
investment in renewable energy by 50
percent, to $6 billion by 2010,” the Associated Press reported today. “The most active investment
in renewable energy for GE Energy Financial Services is wind, representing
about two-thirds of its portfolio….The company is also invested in landfill
gas-to-energy projects, solar power projects in California, a solar power plant
in Portugal and other deals. GE Energy Financial Services also said Monday it
is investing in [four] wind farm projects owned by Horizon Wind Energy LLC, a
Houston-based developer that is a subsidiary of Energias de Portugal SA. The
wind farms are in Illinois, Minnesota, Oregon and Texas.”
The Peoria,
Illinois, County Board on Thursday approved rezoning of 33 acres in Mapleton,
10 miles southwest of Peoria, to build a “biodiesel
manufacturing plant that would…produce 45 million gallons of fuel annually,
equivalent to 10 percent of all the biodiesel fuel produced in the United
States last year,” the Peoria Journal Star reported. “If built, the Mapleton biodiesel plant would be one of five in Illinois,
with two already in production…and two under construction. Plans already are in
place to expand the proposed plant's capacity to 120 million gallons within its
fourth year of operation….For
comparisons, U.S. production of
biodiesel topped 250 million gallons in 2006, according the National Biodiesel
Board. Estimates for biodiesel production in 2007 are at about 450 million
gallons.” The developers have not committed to build the plant, however.